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Type :Academic Journal
Main Author :Dr. Ben Chin Fook Yap, Dr. Shanmugam Munuswamy and Prof. Dr. Zulkifflee Bin Mohamed
Title :Evaluating Company Failure in Malaysia Using Financial Ratios and Logistic Regression
Varying Form of Title :Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, (2012), Vol. 4, No. 1
Content Type :still image (rdacontent)
Media Type :computer (rdamedia)
Carrier Type :online resource (rdacarrier)
Publisher :Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting
Year of Publication :2012
Summary :This paper investigates the ability of logistic regression in anticipating corporate failures in Malaysia over a ten year period covering the economic cycles of boom, the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and economic recovery. 64 companies were analyzed with an initial 16 financial ratios. A strong log it model was developed with four ratios found to be significant in its predictive power and classification results showed very high average accuracy rates of 88% and 90% for the analysis and the hold-out samples respectively and for each of the five years preceding the actual failure. This study also showed it does not need many ratios to be able to anticipate potential company failures and that even with more advanced statistical models used recently, logistic regression is still a very effective and reliable statistical tool.
Corporate Name :UNIRAZAK Library
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